YEREVAN (Armenpress)–The US interests in the Caucasus include the security of Karabakh’s de facto independence–however formally remaining within Azerbaijan.
As reported by the Russian newspaper Komersant the conclusion was made by Pentagon experts–analyzing the situation of Central Asia–the Caucasus and neighboring regions.
According to the analysts–the present Karabakh army consisting of 25,000 people–is the most well-trained in the Central Asia and Southern Caucasus region and can be compared only to the Uzbekistan Army (the Russian–Iran and Turkish armies were not discussed).
The experts believe that if military activities were to resume in the region–the Karabakh army will make advances toward the Evlakh-Mingechaur direction–which will jeopardize the Baku-Tbilisi- Supsa pipeline.
If however–Azerbaijan wins a Karabakh war–Armenia–according to US analysts–will attempt to occupy Nakhichevan. In this case and according to 1921 Kars agreement–Turkey and Russia will have to interfere.
The US analysts expressed concern that if the Armenian and Azeri presidents do not find a solution to the 13-year-old conflict in the near future–the possibility of a new and a more large-scale war will be high.